Philip E. Tetlock

Philip E. Tetlock, PhD, is one of the leading figures in the fields of political psychology and behavioral decision theory. He is currently a professor of psychology at the University of California, Berkeley, and an adjunct professor at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Tetlock has written or edited more than twenty books, including works on such topics as political psychology, international relations, decision-making, and leadership.

The bulk of Tetlock’s research has focused on understanding how people think and make decisions. He has done groundbreaking work on why certain people are better able to make accurate predictions about future outcomes and has developed a mathematical formula for determining who is more likely to make accurate predictions about events in the future. His book “Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It?” is a seminal work in the field, and has been highly influential in policy decision-making.

Tetlock’s research has also included extensive study of leadership and decision-making. His book “Leadership in the 21st Century” analyzed the leadership style of the United Nations secretary-general, the term limits of US presidents, and the risks of military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. He has also explored the notion of “active citizens”, who are active advisors to their governments in policy areas such as education, health care, and the environment.

In addition to researching and writing about leadership and politics, Tetlock has also made important contributions to the study of psychology. He has argued that humans are driven, in part, by “pollsters and pundits,” people who have the ability to look into the future in many respects and evaluate political, economic, and cultural outcomes with a degree of accuracy. He has argued that these types of people can have a powerful effect on decision-making and that, if harnessed properly, they can help inform public decision-making in a way that improves the lives of citizens.

Tetlock has been the recipient of many awards and honors and has served as a Fulbright Professor at Princeton University, a Guggenheim Foundation Fellow, a MacArthur Foundation Fellow, and a Fellow at the Institute for Advanced Study in Berlin. He has appeared in numerous television documentaries, including “Frontline”, “The New York Times”, “The Wall Street Journal”, “The Atlantic Monthly”, and “Time Magazine”. He is also a member of the United Nations Association of the United States of America.

Tetlock is highly respected in his fields of expertise. He is an engaging speaker, a thoughtful researcher, and a prolific author. His work has had a lasting impact not only on his research fields, but also on public decision-making and public policy. His books have provided invaluable insight and understanding into the complex dynamics of modern decision-making and leadership and have served as invaluable resources for academics, pundits, and policy makers.